April 15, 2025 | 09:29 pm
TEMPO.CO, Jakarta - The Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) said the dry season in most parts of Indonesia is expected to be shorter this year, despite the current neutral phase of global climate phenomena such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which is forecasted to continue until the second semester of 2025.
According to BMKG Head Dwikorita Karnawati, the factor influencing this forecast is the warmer sea surface temperature at this time of year. The anomaly is predicted to persist until September, "which can affect local weather in Indonesia."
As stated on Saturday, April 12, 2025, Dwikorita suggests that the agricultural sector adjust its planting schedules according to the early predictions of the dry season in each region. In the forestry sector, she emphasizes the need to increase vigilance against wildfires, especially in regions predicted to experience a normal to drier-than-usual dry season.
Dwikorita explains that 60 percent of Indonesia is predicted to experience a normal dry season, 26 percent will experience a wetter-than-normal dry season, and 14 percent will be drier. "Twenty-six percent of the regions will experience a wetter dry season, especially in parts of Sumatra and Kalimantan," she said.
Dwikorita also says that the peak of the dry season will occur from June to August 2025. However, it will start gradually across the country, and the transitional season has begun since the end of March.
In April, says Dwikorita, only 115 out of a total of 699 Seasonal Zones in Indonesia will enter the dry season. This number will increase in May and June, including in most parts of Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan, and Papua.
"The regions that will experience the peak of the dry season from June to August 2025 include the central to eastern parts of Java, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, and Maluku.
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